In 2021, the Biden Administration passed the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which included a provision to give $42.5 billion to the Broadband Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD) program to provide under-served and rural areas with internet access. To date, it has connected nobody.

The plan required U.S. states and territories to submit plans for investment and deployment by the end of 2023, which all have done. Expected roll out won't occur until 2026 by most optimistic deadlines. It's better than nothing, right? Maybe not.

When you look at the timeline and trajectory of internet access across the United States, we begin to see the problem. In the years between 2021 and 2023 (when the BEAD funding was granted and the deadline for state roll out plan submissions) internet access grew from 80% to 83% for U.S. households. These gains largely came from new additions to areas that historically have not had access or where costs used to be prohibitive. With 13 million users added to networks in that timeframe, we can already see incredible movement in solving low access areas before a single dollar of the federal program has been used. By 2026, the additional investment private networks are making, as well as the flexibility in diverse types of network access, should increase internet access even more, just when the state and territory deployments are supposed to take effect.

When states use the federal subsidy to provide access in areas without internet, they no longer have incentives to confirm if the technology being deployed is appropriate for the area or if the customer base needs and wants what is being provided. Many rural areas that don't have internet access 0won't have a need for fiber cable (the priority of the BEAD funding).Private providers have been expanding where they can sustainably grow their market in ways that give the most appropriate options to the customer base - with emerging technologies like Starlink and other high-speed satellite options, locking into a multi-year government program that prioritizes one technology makes little sense. Oftentimes, the flexibility of a private provider means appropriate coverage for an area at a fraction of the cost of a government plan.

Long-term investments take time, but that doesn't mean every long-term investment makes sense. Government subsidies can come in with admirable goals, but still fail to be executed efficiently or properly. Unseen opportunity costs can be eaten up when we run to government programs first. Even as the state plans start taking effect, the private market will continue to expand internet coverage and lower prices at a faster rate than the BEAD program can, even to rural areas. With a total internet user addition of 0 people so far, the federal program has a long way to catch up.