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Steady revenue forecast since February primes pump for tax relief

About the Author
Jason Mercier
Director, Center for Government Reform

The September revenue forecast continues to show $1.5 billion above expectations for 2021-23 since the February forecast. In other fiscal news, we learned today that the Governor has agreed to a massive compensation increase for state government employees. With other states across the country continuing to provide tax relief to help with inflation costs, it is past time for state officials to prioritize broad-based tax relief for Washingtonians.

Earlier this week Senate Majority Leader Billig talked about the prospects for broad-based tax relief with TVW (26:06 mark) and said it was on the table. Also, at AWB’s recent policy summit, Rep. Orcutt said that he would push for property and sales tax relief in the 2023 legislative session.

With state government employee unions announcing today that their secret pay talks with the Governor have resulted in the "largest compensation package" in history, I'm going to assume that based on the revenue forecast showing a $1.5 billion increase since February, the Governor will also soon be announcing his support for tax relief for Washingtonians.

Surely the Governor wouldn’t have agreed to a huge pay increase for government employee union members unless he also planned to finally support broad-based tax relief as well.

As for the state government employee pay raises, OFM estimates the taxpayer cost information for those tentative agreements will be posted on its website on October 3.

Updated 9/22

2021-23 revenue forecasts for WA since last November:

  • Nov: $60.2 billion
     
  • Feb: $61.7 billion
     
  • June: $63.2 billion
     
  • Sept: $63.2 billion

Broad-based tax relief provided: None.

Additional Information
The case for a Washington sales tax cut (video)

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